Developing an adult social care forecast model for Barnet

Developing an adult social care forecast model for Barnet

Pair of hands holding single hand

 

Along with our associates at CPEA, we are assisting the London Borough of Barnet to develop a Market Position Statement (MPS) to inform the public and their service provider about the future of adult social care provision in Barnet.

As part of this project, we have performed analysis of existing service provision, and developed a new forecasting tool to both inform the MPS, and provide a new process to assist planning and budgeting within the division.

The Demand Forecast Model (DFM) produces a base case forecast, presenting a 3 year forecast based on projected growth in the four service user groups, and other current trends including migration to personal budgets, increase in the scope of services within ASC and the changes in internal service provision.  It will also allow Barnet to forecast the impact of changes and savings initiatives, including market redevelopment, back office changes, telecare and other preventative care to name a few.